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JSW Steel Technical Analysis: Recovery Phase with Moderate Momentum

📊 Market Overview

Current Price: ₹937.60 (+21.45, +2.34%)

Analysis Period: Daily Chart


🎯 Key Technical Analysis

💫 Price Action Dynamics

  • The stock bounced from its recent low of approximately ₹880 in December 2024 and is currently recovering.
  • 6-Month Trend: Sideways-to-bullish structure with recovery attempts after November-December losses.
  • Resistance Levels: ₹960-₹980 (short-term ceiling), ₹1,000 (psychological level and prior high).
  • Support Levels: ₹880-₹900 (strong demand zone), ₹850 (long-term support).
  • Pattern Formation: Higher low near ₹880 suggests potential recovery. Bounce off support zone hints at bullish continuation.

📈 Technical Indicators Breakdown

  • Relative Strength Index (RSI):
    – Current RSI (14): 55.62
    – RSI above 50 signals bullish momentum.
    – Still below overbought zone (>70), indicating room for further upside.
  • Directional Movement Index (DMI):
    – +DI: 19.60, -DI: 19.25, ADX: 21.35.
    – +DI slightly higher than -DI, signaling growing bullish momentum.
    – ADX suggests a weak overall trend but potential for strengthening if upward momentum is sustained.

📊 Volume Analysis

  • Current Volume: ~1.298M (average daily levels).
  • November/December sell-off accompanied by higher volumes, but recent recovery lacks volume surge, causing concern about sustainability.
  • Breakout above ₹960 with increased volume would confirm bullish strength.

💪 Technical Strength Assessment

Metric Score (/10)
Price Action 7/10
RSI Momentum 6/10
DMI Trend Strength 5/10
Volume Confirmation 4/10
Overall Technical Score 5.5/10

⚠️ Risk Analysis

  • Failure to sustain above ₹900-₹920 could lead to renewed selling pressure.
  • Weak ADX readings show lack of conviction in recovery.
  • Break below ₹880 could lead to a test of ₹850 or lower levels.

Disclaimer

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

  • Price action and indicator signals are subject to change based on market conditions.
  • Technical analysis does not guarantee future performance. Always consider external factors, including news events and overall market sentiment.
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